Saturday, August 19, 2006


With all the terrorism hype that's been going on lately, and the prediction from Dick Morris that said hype would bounce George's poll numbers back into the mid-forties, I thought I'd take a look at the Rasmussen numbers for the past couple of weeks. Highlights:

August 5 (before the UK "terrorist plot"): Approve - 40%, Disapprove - 59%

August 11, the day after the UK arrests: Approve - 40%, Disapprove - 58%

Yesterday, after a week of hype: Approve - 41%, Disapprove - 57%

Today: Approve - 41%, Disapprove - 58%

So George's approval rating basically stayed the same; if the Rasmussen numbers were extrapolated into a hypothetical election, he'd be trounced. Even after 10 days of scaring the crap out of everyone.

A survey of 1500 people is an excellent sample size -- when I was in advertising we considered 200-300 to be sufficient. And even considering the standard error margin, it looks hopeful that -- dare I say it? -- people are no longer buying what Bushco is selling.